ETFs (exchange-traded funds) are financial instruments that trade like stocks, but which consist of selected baskets of securities. Some ETFs give traders exposure to businesses in particular regions of the globe, like India; others, called thematic ETFs, focus in on specific industries like blockchain; and a third type passively mimics broad stock indices like the S&P 500. ETFs present traders with daily earning opportunities, but trading them successfully requires knowledge and skill.
Even though ETF holdings are diversified, volatility-seeking traders still opt for them because:
- Not all types of volatility are the same. A trader who is familiar with the clean energy industry may want exposure to that sector’s volatility profile.
- Since ETFs are made up of baskets of assets, their prices are less vulnerable to sharp, idiosyncratic price swings caused by news events
- ETFs respond to macro news about inflation, interest rates, or GDP. Stocks, by contrast, are also susceptible to a mix of company-specific factors
- High daily trading volume makes ETFs responsive to technical analysis
Thematic ETFs exhibit particularly high price volatility because:
- Since they home in on a specific trend, these funds offer fewer holdings and less diversification, which makes them more volatile, what is especially true if the ETF gives a high weighting to small- and mid-cap companies. These sorts of ETFs are popular among trend-chasing retail traders, which means they’re subject to sharp inflows and outflows of capital.
Risk-on macro forces are bullish for thematic ETFs because:
- In a risk-on environment, traders want to expose their capital to assets with future growth potential. Therefore, they tend to take a positive view of the growth themes tracked by these ETFs.
- When interest rates are low, the valuations of growth-intensive companies are boosted because future earnings are discounted at a lower rate.
- Liquidity abounds in risk-on climates, creating favourable conditions for narrative-led themes like AI or clean energy
Geographically focused ETFs behave differently than thematic ETFs. Therefore:
An India-focused ETF would be less speculative and more structural than an AI-focused ETF. That means that its price action will align with the factors that drive long-term growth in the Indian economy. European-focused ETFs typically reflect broader economic and political conditions within the EU region—such as inflation data, interest rate policies set by the ECB, or geopolitical developments. Their performance tends to be influenced by macroeconomic indicators, currency fluctuations, and sector weightings unique to European markets.
Not all gold ETFs are the same because:
- The SPDR Gold Shares ETF holds actual gold bullion that is stored in London vaults. That’s unlike most ETFs, which hold baskets of stocks. SPDR prices move almost in tandem with gold prices
- Gold mining ETFs fit the general mold and rise and fall with the fortunes of gold mining companies.
- Gold ETFs function as safe havens, rising in times of high inflation or geopolitical tension
- Gold mining ETFs are influenced by spot gold prices, but are also affected by equity market forces like changes in management and earnings reports, making them more volatile
What do I have to consider when trading ETFs?
CFDs on ETFs offer an accessible way to trade baskets of assets, sectors, or indices without owning the underlying ETFs. However, alongside their flexibility and potential for profit, here are some facts that every trader should know:
ETF Volatility
ETFs can experience high volatility depending on the underlying assets (such as stocks, commodities, or sectors). This means that CFD positions based on ETFs may be affected by rapid price swings, particularly during major news or earnings reports.
Leverage Can Magnify Losses
CFDs are leveraged instruments, which means you can open a large position with a small deposit. While this increases your potential profit, it also increases your potential loss. A small adverse price movement can quickly result in a significant loss, possibly greater than your initial margin.
Emotional and Behavioral Risks
The high-speed, high-risk nature of CFD trading can lead to emotional decision-making, including overtrading and misuse of leverage. Without a clear plan and risk management strategy, it's easy to fall into reactive patterns that lead to poor results.
Tip: Stick to a trading plan and use tools such as stop-losses, take-profits, and risk/reward analysis.
Spread and Execution Costs
CFD brokers quote two prices: the buy (ask) and the sell (bid) price. The difference between the two is known as the spread. This cost is built into every trade and can vary depending on the ETF’s liquidity and market conditions.
Frequently asked questions:
What are the key factors to be aware of when trading ETFs?
- Firstly, you need conviction that macroeconomics favour your position in the ETF. If interest rates are high and liquidity is low, this is not likely to assist a blockchain-based ETF, which moves on risk-on sentiment.
- Next, you need to know the composition of the ETF. A clean energy ETF may, for example, mostly be made up of Chinese solar equipment firms. Here, you’ll need to know those firms’ individual challenges. The key point is that an ETF won’t automatically move in tandem with its underlying idea. Rather, its specific makeup will determine its trajectory.
- Is there any recent industry-specific news that relates to the ETF? If the newly appointed chairman of the SEC is a fan of cryptocurrency, this may be bullish for a blockchain-focused ETF (since assets in the crypto ecosystem tend to move together).
- Look at resistance and support levels, indicators like the RSI, and chart patterns to perceive the dominant trends in the ETF’s prices.
What are the benefits of trading ETFs as CFDs with iFOREX Europe?
- There’s the ability to go short on ETFs, which allows you to benefit from downturns in a particular industry, sector, or country.
- You can adjust the size of your deal to suit your budget and trading goals, and also utilize risk management tools like stop-loss
- You can boost your deal size with leverage – a tool that compounds both gains and losses
What’s an example of planning an ETF trade?
- Let’s take the case of an US-focused ETF containing a mix of stocks in the nation’s financials, industrials, technology, and consumer staples. When ascertaining price trajectory, we firstly look at the global macroeconomic environment. If the US dollar is strong, this will be bearish for prices because global capital will seek out dollar-denominated assets at the expense of emerging market (EM) assets.
- If US interest rates are high and risk appetite is off, this will draw capital out of EMs and into dollar-backed assets.
- What’s the latest data on domestic GDP, inflation, and trade balances? Has there recently been a national election and, if so, what sort of candidate entered office?
- If domestic factors are bullish and international forces bearish, you’ll have to decide which of the two forces is most prominent right now. Some expert analysis could help you figure this out.
Conclusion
ETF trading presents traders with attractive price volatility and, thus, real earnings opportunities. When trading ETFs as CFDs with iFOREX EUROPE, you can benefit from bear markets in sectors or countries and choose from various analytic tools on their platform.