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8
May

Sentix Investor Confidence, FOMC Financial Stability Report

calendar 08/05/2023 - 07:51 UTC

The dollar traded between gains and losses on Friday, ending the day moderately lower, with the USDX posting a 0.15% loss on the iFOREX platform, still trading in a tight range between levels 100.81 and 102.2 for the past week. Emerging market currencies painted a mixed picture, with the USD/ZAR and the USD/CNH gaining by 0.56% and 0.08% respectively, while the USD/INR and the USD/MXN lost 0.05% and 0.56% of their value respectively.

The main stock market indices in the U.S. posted significant gains on Friday, breaking series of consecutive declines in the previous five sessions, with the US 500, the US 30 and the US tech 100 gaining 1.54%, 1.50% and 1.72% respectively following reports that showed new jobs generated at an accelerating rate and a decline in the unemployment rate. A similar move was observed in some of the main Asian stock indices, with the Hong Kong 50 gaining 1.04% and the Japan 225 ending the session 1.43% higher while the China A50 marked a small 0.05% gain.

Cryptos were seen moving sideways over the weekend, with Bitcoin trading in a range between $28,440 and $29,900, and Ethereum trading between $1,868 and $2,022. The estimated crypto market capitalization continues to build up, seen at $1.240 trillion on Sunday 21:25 PM GMT.

For Monday, Sentix investor confidence data are due from the eurozone while later in the day, the U.S. will publish its monthly wholesale inventories report along with the FOMC Financial Stability Report. Investors could look to upcoming U.S. CPI and PPI inflation indicators later this week to get a better feel of how the Fed will react in its next monetary policy meeting.

EUR/USD

The euro traded between gains and losses and finally posted a moderate decline of 0.05% against the dollar on Friday, following U.S employment data that showed hourly wages increased last month at an annual rate of 4.4%, adding more pressure on the Fed to reach its 2% inflation target. However, jobs growth remains robust, with 235K new jobs created, far exceeding the 180K expectation. In addition, the unemployment rate fell to a 53-year low.

Investors now look to the Sentix investor confidence data due from the eurozone and later in the day, the U.S. will publish its monthly wholesale inventories report along with the FOMC Financial Stability Report.

EUR/USD

Gold

Gold prices fell sharply on Friday, ending the session more than 1.5% lower, following the all-time high of $2,081 seen on Wednesday. The precious metal was boosted by signs that Fed might ease its monetary policy schedule and could potentially pause its rate-hike cycle for this year. Fed funds futures traders are pricing in around 75 basis points of cuts by year-end.

U.S. data remain in the spotlight for investors looking for more clues regarding the health of the economy and the status of global growth. Fed comments and inflation reports, due later this week could attract investors attention.

Gold

WTI Oil

After reaching as low as $67,28 per barrel, WTI oil started a solid recovery of almost 6% since last Wednesday and marked two consecutive daily gains. The price of the fuel could partly be supported by a healthy U.S. jobs report for April, a weaker dollar, and expectations of supply cuts at the next meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies.

Investors now turn their focus on U.S. and Chinese economic indicators and specifically price inflation, trade, inflation, lending and money supply data for April, as market participants try to assess the level of economic recovery.

WTI Oil

US 500

The main U.S. stock market indices rose sharply on Friday, following several daily declines in the previous sessions, with the US 500, the US 30 and the US tech 100 gaining 1.54%, 1.50% and 1.72% respectively after the Non-Farm Payroll report that showed new jobs generated at an accelerating rate while the unemployment rate declined at 53-year lows.

In the spotlight of the earnings schedule is Berkshire Hathaway, PayPal Holdings, Airbnb, Toyota Motor, Walt Disney and Occidental Petroleum. On the news front, investors will be looking towards key consumer, producer, import and export price indexes as well as preliminary Michigan sentiment and expectation readings. In addition, speeches from several FOMC members could also be closely watched.

US 500

The materials contained on this document should not in any way be construed, either explicitly or implicitly, directly or indirectly, as investment advice, recommendation or suggestion of an investment strategy with respect to a financial instrument, in any manner whatsoever. Any indication of past performance or simulated past performance included in this document is not a reliable indicator of future results. For the full disclaimer click here.

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