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19
Sep

Nvidia's Intel Investment Fuels a Tech Sector Rally

calendar 19/09/2025 - 07:12 UTC

The USDX was up 0.37% on Thursday, with the move continuing into Friday's early European session as the Federal Reserve’s guidance was perceived as less dovish than anticipated. The Fed delivered an expected 25-basis-point rate cut on Wednesday, but Chair Jerome Powell characterized the move as a "risk-management cut" and emphasized a "meeting-by-meeting" approach to future cuts. This cautious stance was supported by data from the US Department of Labour, which showed that Initial Jobless Claims fell to 231K and Continuing Jobless Claims dropped to 1.920M, indicating a resilient labor market. Meanwhile, renewed concerns over the Fed's independence could weigh on the USDX after the Trump administration accused Fed Governor Lisa Cook of mortgage fraud and is seeking to replace her. Cook has denied the accusations.

Gold fell 0.79% on Thursday, continuing its corrective slide from recent record highs. The precious metal was pressured by a firmer USD, which is building on its post-FOMC recovery after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks were assessed as less dovish than anticipated. However, renewed demand for the safe-haven metal has been revived by rising geopolitical risks stemming from the intensifying Russia-Ukraine war and conflicts in the Middle East. The US President has insisted that allies must stop purchasing oil from Russia to help bring the ongoing conflict to an end. An EU leader said that the union will propose speeding up the phasing out of Russian fossil imports.

Asian stock markets were mixed on Friday, tracking overnight record closes on Wall Street after Nvidia announced a $5 billion investment in Intel. As of 06:48 AM GMT, markets in Japan were sharply lower. The Japan 225 was down 1.87% and the Japan 100 was down 0.85% after the Bank of Japan held its short-term interest rate steady but surprised investors by announcing it would begin selling its holdings of ETFs and REITs, causing a reversal of early gains. Chinese indices were also mixed, with the China SSE down 0.13%, the China SZSE up 0.09%, and the Hong Kong 50 down 0.12%. Chip stocks extended their rally on optimism around domestic demand despite a report that China's internet regulator instructed tech firms to stop buying Nvidia's AI chips. Meanwhile, Baidu was almost 2% lower, following gains of more than 10% seen in the previous session.

The main US equity indices closed at record highs on Thursday, propelled by relief from the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate cut since December and a significant surge in the semiconductor sector. The rally was fueled by Nvidia's announcement of a $5 billion investment in Intel, a move that created a ripple effect across the industry. As a result, Intel shares surged 22.83%, while Nvidia stock also rose 3.5%. This collaboration, which will focus on developing custom data center and PC products, helped ease concerns about Intel's competitiveness and steadied sentiment around Nvidia, which had previously seen its stock fall amid reports that Chinese regulators instructed domestic firms to halt purchases of its AI chips. While AMD fell 0.83% and ARM was 4.46% lower, the news was broadly positive for the sector. Other key stocks also moved significantly, with Synopsys up 12.83%, TSMC gaining 2.21%, and KLA rising 5.8%. The announcement follows a prior $8.9 billion government investment in Intel from the US CHIPS and Science Act.

The recent rally in Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market cooled on Friday, losing momentum as optimism over lower US interest rates ran out of steam. This change in sentiment was due to the Federal Reserve’s less-dovish-than-hoped-for guidance, which rejected calls for deeper rate cuts, and a hawkish signal from the Bank of Japan. While the BOJ left its rates unchanged, its announcement that it will begin selling its massive holdings of ETFs and REITs struck markets as a form of further policy tightening. Neither the efforts of major corporate treasuries nor the US Securities and Exchange Commission's new rules on listing crypto exchange-traded products were able to support prices.

EUR/USD

The euro fell against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, retreating from a yearly high, as upbeat U.S. economic data and cautious remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell supported the greenback.

While the policy decision initially lifted risk appetite, Powell’s press conference curbed expectations for aggressive rate cuts.

Fresh economic releases reinforced dollar strength. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 231,000 for the week ending September 13, below forecasts of 240,000 and well under the prior week’s upwardly revised 264,000. Continuing Claims also edged down to 1.92 million.

Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index surged to 23.2 in September, a sharp rebound from August’s -0.3 and far above expectations of 2.3, pointing to resilient regional activity.

The Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) suggested an additional 50 bps of cuts by year-end, leaving rates at 3.6%. Growth forecasts were revised higher to 1.6% from 1.4%, while unemployment projections held at 4.5%.

In Europe, ECB policymakers including Vice President Luis de Guindos, Yannis Stournaras and José Manuel Campa maintained that current rates are appropriate. They highlighted balanced inflation risks but acknowledged that growth prospects remain tilted to the downside.

EUR/USD

Gold

Gold prices found some support in Asian trading on Friday, halting a two-day corrective slide from its all-time high earlier this week. Renewed geopolitical tensions have revived safe-haven demand, though gains remain capped by a firmer U.S. dollar and resilient equity sentiment.

Escalating conflicts continue to drive investor interest in gold. U.S. President Donald Trump criticized Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday, urging allies to halt purchases of Russian oil to pressure an end to the Ukraine war. Meanwhile, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen reiterated plans to accelerate the phase-out of Russian fossil fuel imports.

In the Middle East, the Israeli army launched strikes on Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon, underscoring persistent regional instability. These developments have helped sustain demand for the non-yielding precious metal despite headwinds from currency markets.

While safe-haven flows provide a floor for gold, the stronger dollar and firm equity tone continue to limit upside momentum. Traders are cautious about calling an end to the metal’s recent pullback, with markets awaiting stronger follow-through buying before positioning for a renewed uptrend.

Gold

WTI Oil

Crude prices retreated on Thursday, pressured by persistent worries over U.S. economic momentum and fuel demand, despite signs of tightening supply and renewed geopolitical risks.

The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday—its first move this year—and signaled further easing ahead in response to a softening labor market. While lower borrowing costs typically support oil demand, traders focused instead on signs of broader economic weakness.

EIA data showed U.S. crude stockpiles dropped sharply last week as exports surged to near two-year highs and net imports fell to record lows. However, a surprise 4 million barrel build in distillate inventories—well above expectations for a 1 million barrel rise—sparked fresh concerns over fuel demand.

In Russia, the Finance Ministry unveiled new measures to shield its budget from sanctions and oil price volatility. At the same time, Ukraine intensified strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, targeting a major petrochemical complex and refinery. ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods confirmed the company has no plans to return to Russia, limiting potential Western participation in its oil sector.

Meanwhile, Kuwait’s oil minister, Tariq Al-Roumi, forecast stronger demand following the Fed’s rate cut, especially from Asia.

Despite supportive supply-side developments, demand concerns remain the dominant theme for oil markets. Traders are weighing signs of U.S. economic slowdown against geopolitical risks and OPEC members’ expectations of stronger consumption in the months ahead.

WTI Oil

US 500

U.S. equities advanced on Thursday, with the US 500 closing at a record high just one day after the Federal Reserve delivered its first interest rate cut since December. Gains were led by semiconductor stocks, as Intel surged on news of a multibillion-dollar investment from Nvidia.

Intel shares rallied sharply after Nvidia announced a $5 billion investment in the company as part of a broader collaboration to develop several generations of custom data center and PC products. The deal will integrate Nvidia’s AI and accelerated computing capabilities with Intel’s CPUs and x86 ecosystem using NVLink technology. The announcement comes just weeks after Washington facilitated a major government stake in Intel, providing the struggling chipmaker with a fresh opportunity to regain momentum after years of stalled turnaround efforts.

The Fed cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 4.00%–4.25% and signaled two more cuts in 2025 amid a cooling labor market and persistent inflation. The decision exposed internal divisions, with one governor favoring a larger cut. Jobless claims fell slightly, but hiring has slowed, reflecting ongoing economic uncertainty.

In corporate developments, American Express advanced after announcing long-awaited upgrades to its U.S. Platinum cards, adding new perks valued at more than $3,500 annually while raising the annual fee by $200.

CrowdStrike shares jumped following upbeat guidance, the announcement of a partnership with Salesforce, and the acquisition of cybersecurity startup Pangea.

US 500

The materials contained on this document should not in any way be construed, either explicitly or implicitly, directly or indirectly, as investment advice, recommendation or suggestion of an investment strategy with respect to a financial instrument, in any manner whatsoever. Any indication of past performance or simulated past performance included in this document is not a reliable indicator of future results. For the full disclaimer click here.

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