The U.S. dollar posted a moderate decline against other major currencies on Monday, with the dollar index (USDX) hovering around the 105.0 once more early on Tuesday. Some price action could be observed in the greenback as key speeches are due from several Fed members which could provide further clues on the U.S. interest rate outlook following last week's policy decision.
Market expectations, as reflected by the CME FedWatch Tool, heavily favor a rate cut by the Fed in September (56.7%) with November also a strong possibility (50.2%).
In other news, oil prices gained sharply on Monday reaching their highest levels in a month, with the two main benchmarks WTI and Brent, up by 2.66% and 2.36% respectively. According to reports, the move was attributed to the OPEC+ producer group, the International Energy Agency and U.S. Energy Information Administration which raised confidence that oil demand will improve in the second half of the year.
Optimism is running high on Wall Street, with the US 500 and the US tech 100 marking new all-time highs, driven by technology shares rallied on enthusiasm over artificial intelligence ahead of this week's economic data and Federal Reserve officials' speeches that could shed light on monetary policy.
In corporate news, megacaps Apple and Microsoft recovered sharply from previous losses while shares of GameStop (GME) tumbled on Monday after CEO Ryan Cohen told investors that the videogame retailer plans to operate a smaller network of stores but did not provide details on what it intends to do with its cash pile. GameStop shares were down 11.6% at $25.38 on Monday afternoon after the annual general shareholder meeting. Goldman Sachs upped their 2024 S&P 500 target to 5,600, a jump from their previous forecast of 5,200. Evercore ISI went even further, raising their target to 6,000 from a prior estimate of 4,750.
Economic data takes center stage today with German ZEW sentiment, US retail sales, and industrial production on the docket. However, the main event for investors may be later speeches by Fed members, which could offer hints about the central bank's future plans.