The US Dollar Index is struggling to stay above 98.00 early on Friday as investors increasingly anticipate more Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 than policymakers currently project. Traders now expect at least two cuts that year, putting persistent pressure on the Greenback.
White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt noted that President Donald Trump wants to see additional rate reductions, reinforcing market expectations for further easing. Sentiment weakened after the Fed’s latest policy meeting, where officials projected fewer rate cuts than markets currently price in.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 58% chance the Fed will deliver at least two rate cuts by October 2026. This contrasts with the Fed’s dot plot, which signals a decline in the federal funds rate to 3.4% by the end of 2026—suggesting just one cut next year.
The next major catalyst for the US Dollar will be Tuesday’s NFP report for November. Investors will also examine Retail Sales data for November and preliminary S&P Global PMI readings for December, all of which will help gauge the current strength of US labor demand.
Most Asian stocks rose on Friday, supported by a rebound in technology shares after the sector had been shaken by concerns over the artificial intelligence trade following doubts tied to U.S. cloud giant Oracle.The rebound came after Asian markets delivered mostly muted performances for the week, as caution surrounding the Federal Reserve’s policy stance and high tech valuations constrained bullish positions.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 climbed 0.06%, and Korea 200 also gained 1.57% as of 07:35 AM GMT on iForex platform, driven largely by strength in technology and industrial shares. Japan 100 rose 0.93%, while Hong Kong 50 advanced 1.17%, shrugging off weakness among local semiconductor stocks.
China SSE and China SZSE and the Shanghai Composite pared early losses but still underperformed relative to regional peers.
Mainland markets were dragged lower by weakness in domestic semiconductor firms, as investors braced for stronger competition from Nvidia. The U.S. chipmaker is set to roll out more advanced AI chips in China after President Donald Trump indicated he would approve the move.
Gold and other precious metals are still on track for weekly gains, supported by expectations of lower U.S. interest rates next year. The prospect of easing policy boosted demand for non-yielding assets, while a weaker U.S. dollar further strengthened commodities priced in the currency.
Gold was up roughly 2.00% for the week, with most of those gains arriving after the Fed delivered an expected rate cut and signaled a less hawkish tone on monetary policy. Silver was the standout performer this week, supported by expectations of a future supply shortage, resilient safe-haven demand, and the increasingly dovish outlook for U.S. policy. Silver has more than doubled in value this year, benefiting from multiple drivers. The metal is regarded as a haven similar to gold but comes at a much lower price point, helping fuel demand during periods of market uncertainty.