flg-icon English
24
Apr

U.S. Durable Goods Orders, German ifo Business Climate

calendar 24/04/2024 - 08:12 UTC

The dollar posted moderate losses on Tuesday against most major currencies, with the USDX ending the session 0.40% lower. The dollar experienced big tumbles against the euro and sterling, but the yen remained mired near 34-year lows even as Japanese officials stepped up intervention warnings. The dollar's broad losses were driven by a combination of surprisingly robust European activity data and cooling U.S. business growth.

European Purchase Managers Index (PMI) numbers for Germany and France partially outpaced the US PMI numbers for April. The biggest turning point is the fact that US Services fell below estimates while Manufacturing fell into contraction.

In the United States, investors expect the Federal Reserve to be one of the last major central banks to cut, with the rate futures market currently pricing in a 73% chance of its first easing by September, according to the CME's FedWatch tool.

Wall street main indexes outperformed on Tuesday following positive earnings from top-tier companies and as investors were focused on quarterly results from Magnificent Seven and other megacap growth stocks. Tesla kicked off the earnings cycle for technology heavyweights, announcing the launch of new electric vehicle models which overshadowed weaker-than-expected first-quarter earnings. For Wednesday, International Business Machines and Qualcomm Incorporated will add to the pool of tech earnings, while reports from Boeing Co , AT&T Inc , General Dynamics Corporation and CME Group Inc are also on tap.

On the energy front, oil prices rose on Tuesday amid a weaker U.S. Dollar which dropped at the lowest level in more than a week and market participants shifted their focus away from Middle East to the state of global economies.

Investors are looking to the release later this week of U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product data as well as the March figures for personal consumption expenditures, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Moreover, the focus turns to the release of the German ifo Business Climate index, to the Durable goods orders from U.S. and the the release of the Crude Oil inventories by the EIA.

EUR/USD

The Euro appreciated against the US Dollar on Tuesday and ended the session with moderate gains of 0.49% as softer than expected US economic data weighed on the Greenback.

Data from the United States (US), revealed by S&P Global on Tuesday, showed that business activity in the manufacturing sector shrank. The Manufacturing PMI slipped from 51.9 to 49.9 this month. On the other hand, the Services and Composite Index decelerated from 51.7 and 52.1 to 50.9, in both readings.

Across the pond, Eurozone HCOB PMIs were solid, with the composite index rising from March’s 50.3 to 51.4 this month, while the services edged up from 51.5 to 52.9. the outlier was the Manufacturing PMI, slipping from 46.1 to 45.6.

EUR/USD

Gold

Gold prices posted minor losses on Tuesday on diminishing fears about an escalation of tensions in the Middle East, with investors awaiting key economic data for further clarity on the timeline on U.S. interest rate cuts.

Israeli strikes intensified across Gaza in some of the heaviest shelling in weeks, but with fears of a wider conflict receding after Iran said last week it had no plan to retaliate following an apparent Israeli drone attack, financial markets showed signs of sharper appetite for risk.

The market is also closely monitoring signals from the U.S., where inflation data and statements from the Federal Reserve indicate that interest rates may not be cut in June.

Gold

WTI Oil

Oil prices rose by more than a dollar a barrel on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar fell to its lowest level in more than a week and investors shifted their focus away from tensions in the Middle East to the state of global economies.

More support for prices came from euro zone data that showed business activity expanding this month at the fastest pace in nearly a year. Moreover, Investors are looking to the release later this week of U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product data as well as the March figures for personal consumption expenditures, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.

The American Petroleum Institute reported on Tuesday that U.S. crude oil and gasoline stockpiles fell last week. The U.S. government's official data will be published by the Energy Information Administration later today.

WTI Oil

US 500

U.S. stocks closed higher on Tuesday following positive earnings from top-tier companies and as investors were focused on quarterly results from Magnificent Seven and other megacap growth stocks.

Tesla kicked off the earnings cycle for technology heavyweights after markets closed on Tuesday, announcing the launch of new electric vehicle models and quarterly revenue that missed analyst estimates. That will be followed by results from other tech majors, including Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta Platforms, later this week.

Data on Tuesday showed that U.S. business activity cooled in April to a four-month low due to weaker demand, while rates of inflation eased slightly even as input prices rose sharply, suggesting possible relief ahead for rising consumer prices.

US 500

The materials contained on this document should not in any way be construed, either explicitly or implicitly, directly or indirectly, as investment advice, recommendation or suggestion of an investment strategy with respect to a financial instrument, in any manner whatsoever. Any indication of past performance or simulated past performance included in this document is not a reliable indicator of future results. For the full disclaimer click here.

Join now to receive more training and knowledge
Open your personal account